Out of the Oscar nominations, here is who I would pick for each category. A *** indicates my pick for the corresponding category.
BEST ACTOR
Leonardo DiCaprio - One Battle After Another
***Timothy Chalamet - Marty Supreme
Ethan Hawke - Blue Moon
Wagner Moura - The Secret Agent
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Benicio Del Toro - One Battle After Another
***Jacob Elordi - Frankenstein
Delroy Lindo - Sinners
Sean Penn - One Battle After Another
Stellan Skarsgard - Sentimental Value
BEST ACTRESS
***Jessie Buckley - Hamnet
Rose Byrne - If I had Legs I'd Kick You
Renate Reinsve - Sentimental Value
Emma Stone - Bugonia
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Elle Fanning - Sentimental Value
Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas - Sentimental Value
***Amy Madigan - Weapons
Wunmi Mosaku - Sinners
Teyana Taylor - One Battle After Another
BEST ANIMATED FILM
Arco
Elio
KPop Demon Hunters
***Little Amelie or the Character of Rain
Zootopia 2
BEST CASTING
Nina Gold - Hamnet
Jennifer Venditti - Marty Supreme
Cassandra Kulukundis - One Battle After Another
Gabriel Domingues - The Secret Agent
***Francine Maisler - Sinners
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY
Dan Laustsen - Frankenstein
Darius Khondji - Marty Supreme
Michael Bauman - One Battle After Another
***Autumn Durald Arkapaw - Sinners
Adolpho Veloso - Train Dreams
BEST COSTUME DESIGN
Deborah L. Scott - Avatar: Fire and Ash
***Kate Hawley - Frankenstein
Malgosia Turzanska - Hamnet
Miyako Bellizzi - Marty Supreme
Ruth E. Carter - Sinners
BEST DIRECTOR
Chloe Zhao - Hamnet
***Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme
Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another
Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value
Ryan Coogler - Sinners
BEST EDITING
***Stephen Mirrione - F1
Ronald Bronstein and Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme
Andy Jurgensen - One Battle After Another
Olivier Bugge Coutte - Sentimental Value
Michael P. Shawver - Sinners
BEST MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING
***Mike Hill, Jordan Samuel and Cliona Furey - Frankenstein
Kyoko Toyokawa, Naomi Hibino and Tadashi Nishimatsu - Kokuho
Ken Diaz, Mike Fontaine and Shunika Terry - Sinners
Kazu Hiro, Glen Griffin and Bjoern Rehbein - The Smashing Machine
Thomas Foldberg and Anne Cathrine Sauerberg - The Ugly Stepsister
BEST SCORE
Jerskin Fendrix - Bugonia
Alexandre Desplat - Frankenstein
Max Richter - Hamnet
Jonny Greenwood - One Battle After Another
***Ludwig Goransson - Sinners
BEST SONG
Dear Me - from Diane Warren: Relentless; Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
Golden - from KPop Demon Hunters; Music and Lyric by EJAE, Mark Sonnenblick, Joong Gyu Kwak, Yu Han Lee, Hee Dong Nam, Jeong Hoon Seon and Teddy Park
***I Lied to You - from Sinners; Music and Lyric by Raphael Saadiq and Ludwig Goransson
Sweet Dreams of Joy - from Viva Verdi!; Music and Lyric by Nicholas Pike
Train Dreams - from Train Dreams; Music by Nick Cave and Bryce Dessner; Lyric by Nick Cave
BEST PICTURE
Bugonia
F1
Frankenstein
Hamnet
Marty Supreme
***One Battle After Another (TIE)
The Secret Agent
Sentimental Value
Sinners
Train Dreams
BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN
Production Design: Tamara Deverell; Set Decoration: Shane Vieau - Frankenstein
Production Design: Fiona Crombie; Set Decoration: Alice Felton - Hamnet
Production Design: Jack Fisk; Set Decoration: Adam Willis - Marty Supreme
Production Design: Florencia Martin; Set Decoration: Anthony Carlino - One Battle After Another
***Production Design: Hannah Beachler; Set Decoration: Monique Champagne - Sinners
BEST SOUND
***Gareth John, Al Nelson, Gwendolyn Yates Whittle, Gary A. Rizzo and Juan Peralta - F1
Greg Chapman, Nathan Robitaille, Nelson Ferreira, Christian Cooke and Brad Zoern - Frankenstein
José Antonio García, Christopher Scarabosio and Tony Villaflor - One Battle After Another
Chris Welcker, Benjamin A. Burtt, Felipe Pacheco, Brandon Proctor and Steve Boeddeker - Sinners
Amanda Villavieja, Laia Casanovas and Yasmina Praderas - Sirat
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS
***Joe Letteri, Richard Baneham, Eric Saindon and Daniel Barrett - Avatar: Fire and Ash
Ryan Tudhope, Nicolas Chevallier, Robert Harrington and Keith Dawson - F1
David Vickery, Stephen Aplin, Charmaine Chan and Neil Corbould - Jurassic World: Rebirth
Charlie Noble, David Zaretti, Russell Bowen and Brandon K. McLaughlin - The Lost Bus
Michael Ralla, Espen Nordahl, Guido Wolter and Donnie Dean - Sinners
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY
Will Tracy - Bugonia
Guillermo del Toro - Frankenstein
Chloé Zhao & Maggie O'Farrell - Hamnet
***Paul Thomas Anderson - One Battle After Another
Clint Bentley & Greg Kwedar - Train Dreams
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY
Robert Kaplow - Blue Moon
Jafar Panahi - It Was Just An Accident
Ronald Bronstein & Josh Safdie - Marty Supreme
***Eskil Vogt, Joachim Trier - Sentimental Value
Ryan Coogler - Sinners